The Precise Take – Signs of risk preference reappearing

Big Picture Analysis:  It has been a volatile week, and that trend is likely to continue today, as the final European bank stress  test results are due to be released just after their close today, at noon EDT.  Yesterday, bulls were able to drive the ES, and comfortably close, in the green value area, below—what we considered a necessary first step prior to and potential bellwether of a breakout of the 1100 level.  If there is a pullback first, the yellow box, also marked below, from 1076 to 1079 should hold as support today or early Monday.  Otherwise, another perceived failure just under the 1100 level may give the bears too much ammunition.

Leaders Analysis:  We were watching primarily long term Treasury yields and the AussieYen.  The 10 Year Yield is up materially, though now at its old long-standing trendline resistance.  The AussieYen has just barely…

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3 Responses to

  1. sdg

    on July 23 2010 at 10:38:00

    ES daily chart had a bullish trend reversal yesterday. So I was looking for a buy signal this morning. The sh(n)ake out was brutal but I survived it and made some $$$.

  2. Bob English

    on July 23 2010 at 10:42:37

    Yes, that was rough.  Did not see 84.00 as significant in the ES, but NDX and RUT hit strong pivot support.  T-77 until the stress test fireworks.

  3. spainconsultant

    on July 25 2010 at 17:41:50

    corrections
    clear path up (not down)
    doubtful thoughts link http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qHFxncb1gRY

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Disclaimer: The information presented on this site is for educational purposes only. No personal trade recommendations are being made hereby. Trading futures is highly risky and you can lose a substantial amount of money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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