Pre-open eMini S&P 500 Morning Report for March 4, 2010

The Precise Take – Equity futures poised to test yesterday’s high ahead of Employment Situation

Leaders Analysis:  As we noted intraday yesterday, the US Dollar Index broke major support and sold off sharply.  The bottom coincided with the end of the equities rally yesterday.  Overnight, the 20 day moving average, which prior served as support, became resistance.  The Dollar tends to consolidate after important moves, so we don’t expect another major move until tomorrow’s Employment Situation.  The other leaders are not making any moves of note, so the leaders are equities neutral today.

Medium Term Analysis:  Not much to add from prior day’s commentary.  Focus will be on tomorrow’s Employment Situation report, which is expected to be bad because of the February blizzards.  The ES is at a precarious point.  It needs to soon…

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