We mentioned the broadening megaphone/wedge pattern in the morning report and how it tends to lead to shakeouts before resumption of the up trend.  We would need a material move below yesterday’s low of 1126.25 to confirm that this pattern has reasserted, so it’s too early to tell if today is part of it, or if the ES will return to highs again before the real shakeout occurs.  However, we did mention the similarities between now and the October earnings season.  In fact, the similarities have only increased because there is now a 3 consecutive day large range reversal pattern, just as there was in October.  Given the lack of volume support down to 1109.00 in the ES, swing longs should pay heightened attention to yesterday’s 1126.25 low.

Click for large image.

3 Responses to

  1. Pre-open eMini S&P 500 Morning Report for January 21, 2010 | The Precision Report

    on January 21 2010 at 09:52:43

    [...] to increasingly lack conviction about the current trading range holding value.  Given the pattern we pointed out yesterday, longs will need to make a push to at least 1144.25 (weekly R1) and hold that area to prove they [...]

  2. sdg

    on January 21 2010 at 14:41:07

    Megaphone pattern working beautifully the day after you pointed it. Nice research. Thanks Bob.

  3. Bob English

    on January 21 2010 at 14:55:50

    Appreciated.

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